Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.232859 0.264443 0.298249 0.337068 0.380354 0.427080 0.481277
2025-10-19 0.189853 0.231981 0.280008 0.338611 0.407975 0.487235 0.584425
2025-10-26 0.161943 0.210810 0.269618 0.345165 0.439156 0.551725 0.696173
2025-11-02 0.142201 0.195859 0.263603 0.354640 0.472904 0.620361 0.817014
2025-11-09 0.122355 0.177629 0.250581 0.352755 0.490795 0.669260 0.915596
2025-11-16 0.106768 0.162742 0.239699 0.351625 0.508298 0.717540 1.015336
2025-11-23 0.093871 0.149783 0.229644 0.349919 0.523853 0.763126 1.113229
2025-11-30 0.085734 0.142623 0.226740 0.357466 0.552089 0.826941 1.239048
2025-12-07 0.076916 0.133277 0.219463 0.357529 0.568890 0.874938 1.344564
2025-12-14 0.069345 0.124943 0.212730 0.357458 0.584903 0.922029 1.450601
2025-12-21 0.062953 0.117752 0.206964 0.358098 0.601550 0.970388 1.560405
2025-12-28 0.058288 0.112920 0.204439 0.363446 0.625482 1.030537 1.690479
2026-01-04 0.054644 0.109649 0.204453 0.373344 0.657990 1.106754 1.851126
2026-01-11 0.050244 0.104504 0.200766 0.376645 0.679832 1.167336 1.990511
2026-01-18 0.047046 0.101224 0.199990 0.384761 0.710024 1.242648 2.156910
2026-01-25 0.044552 0.099004 0.200863 0.395718 0.745553 1.328261 2.343921
2026-02-01 0.040598 0.093408 0.194966 0.393921 0.758657 1.377219 2.472881
2026-02-08 0.037151 0.088432 0.189741 0.392829 0.772711 1.428177 2.607212
2026-02-15 0.033979 0.083649 0.184417 0.391031 0.785171 1.476740 2.739391
2026-02-22 0.032191 0.081668 0.184439 0.399415 0.816660 1.559622 2.933903
2026-03-01 0.029731 0.077881 0.180430 0.399511 0.832521 1.615522 3.083691
2026-03-08 0.027485 0.074310 0.176525 0.399448 0.847925 1.671115 3.235097
2026-03-15 0.025507 0.071135 0.173157 0.400163 0.864742 1.729859 3.394406